NJ 3rd congressional district race: who do you like?

http://thedebateplace.weebly.com/talking-toms-river-nj#/
The 3rd NJ district is an open seat currently held by republicans so the democrats have an oppurtunity for a pick-up here. President Obama defeated Romney by 3.9% the same margin he won the nation by. So that makes the district according to my index an even fight for republicans and democrats. Mcarthur is a wealthy insurance executive who
spent 2 million dollars of his own money against Lonegan who was a formidable candidate helping him defeat Lonegan by an impressive 60 - 40 margin. He will run against Aimee Belgard a freeholder from Burlington County. I don't know how much money she has or if she is condidered a strong candidate.